我只在 零辰寫幾篇, 日頭唔會寫
Nate silver 公開支持賀錦麗, 無他的, 因為佢一早就支持拜登
但佢見到拜登會輸, 就講會輸
政見 是無所謂, 因為佢無影響佢專業判斷
佢亦分析, 現在賀錦麗問題, 要51%, 佢拿唔到
48點7, 對46點7. 賀錦麗領先緊, 但仍未夠
Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of the polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, has announced his voting plans for November's election.
In a news conference on Friday, former President Donald Trump praised Silver after he gave the Republican nominee a 56 percent chance of winning the election, calling Silver a "very respected guy."
On Thursday's episode of Risky Business, the podcast he hosts with Maria Konnikova, Silver said he would be voting for Vice President Kamala Harris.
"I'm gonna vote for Harris," Silver said, after saying he is trying to be nonpartisan to his audience.
He also discussed the candidates' win probabilities following their debate on Tuesday: "Before the debate, it had been like Trump 54, Harris 46. These are not vote shares. These are win probabilities. And after, it's 50-50," Silver said.
Nate Silver, a statistician, an author and the founder of FiveThirtyEight, at the ABC Leadership Breakfast panel during Advertising Week at the Bryant Park Grill in New York on September 28, 2015. Silver has said... More Slaven Vlasic/Getty Images
The Silver Bulletin model shows Harris at 48.7 percent in the polls, with Trump at 46.7 percent.
"She, right now, is at 49 percent of the vote in polls," Silver said on the podcast. "To win, she has to get to 51 percent—51 because she has a disadvantage in all likelihood in the Electoral College."
Despite having previously shown Trump as surging in the polls, Silver's model now has him neck and neck with Harris. Newsweek has contacted Silver via email for comment.
https://www.newsweek.com/nate-silver-reveals-election-vote-donald-trump-kamala-harris-1952655
