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發起人
2024年美國大選 續
1001 個回應
https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/09/23/multimedia/00dc-baldwin-shapiro-ftzq/00dc-baldwin-shapiro-ftzq-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale

JOSH 去幫TAMMY BALDWIN 手
所以你睇到TAMMY 知自己危險


你見到, 賀錦麗是錯得很
應該叫JOSH 請假1,2個月

一齊 同佢+TIM + JOSH
三條友一齊

同埋答應, 俾JOSH 俾國務卿
如果選到

以顯示自己 重視猶太人同JOSH

你選TIM = 玩向左走向右走完


美國總統最大,

之後國務卿 比副總統大
應該俾JOSH 做國務卿

而家猶太人, 見到你, 受極左翼影響
在欺負JOSH, 因為猶太人, 無得做VP 侯選人

猶太人, 會預知到
連JOSH 都受排斥

自己是一個猶太平民, 更大獲

賀錦麗是無交代。, 點幫猶太人

猶太人 會連成一線, 對抗賀錦麗
但口講支持民主黨
最後, 開票個下
你就知味道


https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/ftcms%3Acc809a4d-065d-4cf6-a1b2-0a7bda85acef?source=next-article&fit=scale-down&quality=highest&width=1440&dpr=1

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2018/politics/trump-crowd-sound/img/topper.jpg

https://arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.com/public/IGF5VCGZUEI6TLDDGALHCFKD7Y.jpg

坊間 很多人評論特朗普, 要點理性, 俾市民 睇到自己自制
我認為是錯誤

每個人, 都是獨立個體
有自己風格, 同性格
特朗普做左4年總統
市民都認知佢

你突然改性格, 人地 會覺得怪
同埋唔駛 改的
最重要 是你做什麼, 不是講什麼
講什麼 都可以改, 做什麼是不能改

市民記得你 特朗普政策行得暢順
做返自己就可以
人生攻擊對手, 也是一個人 本質
大家互相人生攻擊, 現實生活, 小事一單
點解 道德塔 利班上身?

你睇下特朗普, 支持度, 無動搖到

https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/acpk5tan.rbmnqo1s5np.4ahhbrzn0kk.32q.png

市民就是特朗普夠真, 交個心出來
見到其他侯選人, 覺得 對方講大話
希拉里, 賀錦麗, 吹到乜都唔關佢地事


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/iyduu0sa.khcrbmqgjwx.piyfpgfnqf4.vqb.png

基層的一票, 是很重要
基層的一票=幾票

條數, 點計?
基層1票, 佢有老婆
老婆1票

基層無乜野攪
星期六,日, HAPPY HRS
同朋友出來吹水
講政治

同朋友, 準備投特朗普

https://kffhealthnews.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2024/06/Wisconsin_06.jpg
基層, 會嘗試說服朋友

有錢人, 有學歷的人, 不會圍爐講政治


https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
特朗普贏面49.4 對49.1

過賀錦麗

但賭盤都係參巧下
最緊要, 是睇POLL

睇有實素的POLL


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/iyduu0sa.khcrbmqgjwx.piyfpgfnqf4.vqb.png

一個社會, 大部份都係基層
以前基層易欺負, 因為無學歷

覺得民主,投票 都係有學歷, 有 錢人玩意
自己飲飲食食, 就可以, 最緊有份工

當全球化時
無左份工

當一個人無左份工
之後無的野, 是尊嚴
你老婆 隨時同你離婚
你仔女你養唔起
你失去尊嚴, 無收入
你可能要搬家, 大屋搬細屋, 或搬去第二個洲搵機會

人的內心世界, 是有根 及故鄉
想在故鄉, 如果故鄉不是太差

當 利益動搖, 基層開頭不識反抗
特朗普教 基層, 投佢一票, 佢幫你出頭

即使特朗普可能毒藥, 基層 都會局住飲
反正都係死, 不如信特朗普


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/iyduu0sa.khcrbmqgjwx.piyfpgfnqf4.vqb.png

特朗普難度最高的地方
就是自己有錢
基層無錢

要基層窮人, 相信有錢人, 代佢地出頭
唔踩一腳當幫忙, 令基層相信自己

仲要基層個袋, 都無錢, 食唔飽
都肯拿錢, 幫你玩選舉, 打官司,

錢好似倒水咁倒


這都是美國 選舉 最難的地方
就是要錢

美國初選, 大選, 你要錢
你收錢 選舉 , 你要答應 選民
否則難連任

應承這個
應承那個

賀錦麗2020年 參選初選
最後, 都係唔夠錢, 要停

選舉都係錢
人生都係錢


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/sm5rkhnc.xkxegqzlq2p.rmczreukpmj.bey.png
這同我估 差不多

1. PA, AZ,GA, NC 都可以贏到

2. WI 我估贏到, 賭盤估 民主黨贏面過半
WI , 上次輸好少, 同埋有JILL STEIN
JILL 是 WI 出世

我估WI 是贏到, 且不會贏得少
2% 以上

3. 賭盤PA, 估PA 特朗普可以贏到2.5% 以上
我估得, 但我唔會下注

8.8萬票=1.2% , 我估贏到20萬或更多, 在PA


https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/09/23/multimedia/00dc-baldwin-shapiro-ftzq/00dc-baldwin-shapiro-ftzq-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale

JOSH 去幫TAMMY BALDWIN 手
所以你睇到TAMMY 知自己危險


你見到, 賀錦麗是錯得很
應該叫JOSH 請假1,2個月

一齊 同佢+TIM + JOSH
三條友一齊

同埋答應, 俾JOSH 俾國務卿
如果選到

以顯示自己 重視猶太人同JOSH

你選TIM = 玩向左走向右走完

其實你有冇諗過民主黨有potential嘅人都唔想對Trump。所以當拜登唔選就冇人舉手,唯有推Harris去選。


https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/09/23/multimedia/00dc-baldwin-shapiro-ftzq/00dc-baldwin-shapiro-ftzq-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale

JOSH 去幫TAMMY BALDWIN 手
所以你睇到TAMMY 知自己危險


你見到, 賀錦麗是錯得很
應該叫JOSH 請假1,2個月

一齊 同佢+TIM + JOSH
三條友一齊

同埋答應, 俾JOSH 俾國務卿
如果選到

以顯示自己 重視猶太人同JOSH

你選TIM = 玩向左走向右走完

其實你有冇諗過民主黨有potential嘅人都唔想對Trump。所以當拜登唔選就冇人舉手,唯有推Harris去選。


哈里斯都可以盤算:
1. 偷到雞固之然名留青史
2. 偷唔到雞都基本盤有美國一半人票,多人認識,下次選舉有利


其實你有冇諗過民主黨有potential嘅人都唔想對Trump。所以當拜登唔選就冇人舉手,唯有推Harris去選。

上次對侵咪偷到
唔覺民主黨內有咩人堅有本事上

一個普通州長 / 議員上位係有程序,本身僅限自己州選民熟自己,要變nationally popular
Paul Ryan就係失敗例子,出咗自己州人哋當佢小丑

商界籌旗捐錢、不斷曝光畀選民知自己理念,拉攏自己黨友多數歸邊,聲勢壓低黨內其他競爭者

最後一步先係而家,同對家大佬爭中間派選民
海外一般人睇選戰只會睇呢步,其實前面好多step要做

登狗拖到咁遲先退選,邊夠時間畀人籌campaign,除咗照慣例畀副手上,根本冇得揀


JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
{ 46 Minute Seconds 6 Seconds } @All-In Podcast // 10-Sept,2024
(0:00) Besties intro JD Vance!
(3:15) America's innovation problem
(4:46) Thoughts on Trump
(8:35) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020?
(11:44) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs
(19:17) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years
(23:40) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem
(25:37) Fixing the Southern Border
(31:58) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border?
(36:33) Relationship with China
[


❤️ JD Vance


其實你有冇諗過民主黨有potential嘅人都唔想對Trump。所以當拜登唔選就冇人舉手,唯有推Harris去選。

上次對侵咪偷到
唔覺民主黨內有咩人堅有本事上

一個普通州長 / 議員上位係有程序,本身僅限自己州選民熟自己,要變nationally popular
Paul Ryan就係失敗例子,出咗自己州人哋當佢小丑

商界籌旗捐錢、不斷曝光畀選民知自己理念,拉攏自己黨友多數歸邊,聲勢壓低黨內其他競爭者

最後一步先係而家,同對家大佬爭中間派選民
海外一般人睇選戰只會睇呢步,其實前面好多step要做

登狗拖到咁遲先退選,邊夠時間畀人籌campaign,除咗照慣例畀副手上,根本冇得揀


藍選民有幾多未接受到Sanders嘅socialism?


JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
{ 46 Minute Seconds 6 Seconds } @All-In Podcast // 10-Sept,2024
(0:00) Besties intro JD Vance!
(3:15) America's innovation problem
(4:46) Thoughts on Trump
(8:35) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020?
(11:44) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs
(19:17) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years
(23:40) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem
(25:37) Fixing the Southern Border
(31:58) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border?
(36:33) Relationship with China


❤️ JD Vance

主持人: 如果你是麥克彭斯, 你會幫川普推翻2020年選舉結果嗎?JD萬斯高含金量訪談:對川普的看法, 對中共的 態度, 華爾街政治, 高科技大企, 大規模驅逐非法移民...
{ 45 Minute Seconds 54 Seconds } @真觀點 // 07-Oct,2024



8日 去左4次WI
這個洲, 重點攻
共和黨 擔心
我反宜唔擔心
因為你最後一里路
睇到WI 驚輸, 麻去
代表知你清楚形勢
WI 2020年輸好少
且 去WI, 我估計其中一個可能幫ERIC 贏參議員

不一定是自己好危



Wisconsin News
Trump visits Wisconsin for fourth time in eight days as GOP's swing state worries grow
minnesota
Updated on: October 6, 2024 / 4:24 PM CDT / AP


Donald Trump on Sunday visited Wisconsin for the fourth time in eight days as his campaign showers attention on a pivotal state where Republicans fret about his ability to match Democrats' enthusiasm and turnout machine.

"They say that Wisconsin is probably the toughest of the swing states to win," Trump said in his opening remarks at an airplane hangar in a rural Juneau where the overflow crowd spilled out on to the tarmac. "I don't think so."

Voters in Wisconsin are already casting absentee ballots and in-person early voting begins Oct. 22. Trump encouraged supporters to vote by mail and early, when the time comes, so they turn out "in record numbers."

Wisconsin is perennially tight in presidential elections but has gone for the Republicans just once in the past 40 years, when Trump won the state in 2016. A win in November could make it impossible for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris to take the White House.

"In the political chatter class, they're worried," said Brandon Scholz, a retired Republican strategist and longtime political observer in Wisconsin who voted for Trump in 2020 but said he is not voting for Trump or Harris this year. "I think Republicans are right to be concerned."

Trump won the state in 2016 over Democrat Hillary Clinton by fewer than 23,000 votes and lost to Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 by just under 21,000 votes.

On Tuesday, Trump made his first-ever visit to Dane County, home to the liberal capital city of Madison, in an effort to turn out the Republican vote even in the state's Democratic strongholds. Dane is Wisconsin's second most-populous and fastest-growing county; Biden received more than 75% of the vote four years ago.


https://www.cbsnews.com/minnesota/news/trump-ramps-up-wisconsin-campaigning/


https://assets2.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/2024/10/06/51b9f118-4525-4123-a09f-a2fd00a98c9a/gettyimages-2177108070.jpg?v=3a0e65dbe151135b3f2e1627f423e21b
最不安全, 反宜是MI, 同NV

但你攪店PA, 個遊戲就完


賀錦麗 MI 被 Elissa Slotkin 小完
就好多動作
MI 我估是打和/ 特朗普領先少少
近排特朗普重點去MI, WI
無乜去NV



https://www.singtaousa.com/2024-10-06/25%E5%90%8D%E4%BC%8A%E6%96%AF%E8%98%AD%E9%A0%98%E8%A2%96%E8%81%AF%E7%BD%B2-%E7%82%BA%E5%89%AF%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E8%B3%80%E9%8C%A6%E9%BA%97%E8%83%8C%E6%9B%B8/5015155

25名伊斯蘭教領袖「伊瑪目」6日發出聯署信,公開表態,為副總統賀錦麗背書。 法新社
本報訊

多名伊斯蘭領袖公開表態,支持民主黨總統候選人賀錦麗,表示她是結束以色列與哈馬斯、黎巴嫩之間衝突的「最佳人選」。分析形容,總統拜登因為以哈戰爭而在伊斯蘭社區中失分,賀錦麗這次得到背書,是爭取穆斯林選票的重要契機。

NBC報道,就在哈馬斯突襲以色列一周年之際,25名伊瑪目(Imam)6日發表聯署公開信,形容賀錦麗堅決支持中東停火,是「結束加沙和目前黎巴嫩流血衝突的最佳人選」,相反前總統特朗普則威脅伊斯蘭社區,如果重返白宮的話,對穆斯林而言將是「道德和戰略上的雙重失敗」。信中特別表示,搖擺州的穆斯林選民若票投第三方,可能導致特朗普拿下這些州份,繼而贏得選舉,因此族群有責任運用邏輯思考,支持賀錦麗的好處「遠高於其他選擇造成的危害」。


拜登講唔選時

好多人未在拜登退選時, 暗示 拜登退選才考慮 爭
奧巴馬推MARK KELLY ,

仲有Andy BesheaR

大家都覺得特朗普好廢
同埋有個機會

JOSH 都想選
因為原訂是有閃電初



民主黨內現在傳出有人推動「閃電換拜」,彭博報導兩位人脈廣大的民主黨人士,發出備忘錄建議,拜登在七月中宣布退選隨後閃電辦初選,八月黨大會替換人選的步驟。

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E6%B0%91%E4%B8%BB%E9%BB%A8%E9%86%9E%E9%87%80%E6%9C%88%E4%B8%AD-%E9%96%83%E9%9B%BB%E6%8F%9B%E6%8B%9C-%E6%8B%9C%E7%99%BB%E5%A5%BD%E5%8F%8B-%E4%BB%96%E6%80%9D%E8%80%83%E4%B8%AD-104049538.html


Sen. Casey, Gov. Shapiro Campaign In Montgomery County
The state's most visible Democratic leaders were in Montgomery County Sunday as Election Day nears.

COLLEGEVILLE, PA — The state's most visible Democratic leaders were in Montgomery County Sunday, as both Gov. Josh Shapiro and U.S. Sen. Bob Casey rallied supporters in the lead up to Election Day.

The pair of high profile candidates appeared at the IBEW Local 126, on 3455 Germantown Pike.

"It was great to be in Montgomery County today with Josh Shapiro to get out the vote," Casey said. "With less than a month to go, let’s win this together."

Shapiro is not up for election this cycle but Casey is facing a challenge from Republican Dave McCormick. Casey currently leads McCormick in the polls by about four points, according to an aggregate of polls from RealClearPolitics, and Cook Political Report classifies the race as "leaning Democratic."

This is despite other statewide races, including the battle between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, polling at dead even with just under a month to go to Election Day.

https://patch.com/pennsylvania/norristown/sen-casey-gov-shapiro-campaign-montgomery-county


今次, 最大問題, 是特朗普
反應快

明明debate 特朗普輸了
跌了1,2% 支持度

但很快pick up 返那1,2%


對手太癲
賀錦麗的對手
唔講道德
唔講道理

玩人性丑惡
賀錦麗仍不開記招
特朗普日日live 周圍走, 周圍講野
周圍接受訪問


MI,WI 的基層很簡單, 你黎我度, 我就投你

https://wiscontext.org/sites/default/files/assets/images/apl-demographics-election2016-results-county-republican.jpg

Harris and Trump are focusing on Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the "blue wall" states that went for Trump in 2016 and flipped to Biden in the next election.

While Trump's campaign is bullish on its chances in Pennsylvania as well as Sunbelt states, Wisconsin is seen as more of a challenge.

"Wisconsin, tough state," said Trump campaign senior adviser Chris LaCivita, who worked on Republican Sen. Ron Johnson's winning reelection campaign in 2022.

"I mean, look, that's going to be a very tight — very, very tight, all the way to the end. But where we are organizationally now, comparative to where we were organizationally four years ago, I mean, it's completely different," LaCivita said.

He also cited Michigan as more of a challenge. "But again, these are states that Biden won and carried and so they're going to be brawls all the way until the end and we're not ceding any of that ground."

The candidates are about even in Wisconsin, based on a series of polls that have shown little movement since Biden dropped out in late July. Those same polls also show high enthusiasm among both parties.

Mark Graul, who ran then-President George W. Bush's 2004 campaign in Wisconsin, said the number of campaign visits speaks to Wisconsin's decisive election role.

The key for both sides, he said, is persuading infrequent voters to turn out.

"Much more important, in my opinion, than rallies," Graul said.


https://americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/10/VoterTrends2016-webtable-4-693.png

白人基層 佔左6成
有學歷白人, 佔2成8

特朗普針對基層
就是出現在WISCONSIN

總之你現身, 講幾句笑話
問侯下佢地,就可以

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/YVIeUM-vYCA/maxresdefault.jpg

THANK YOU RALLY, 2016年12月
贏左後, 去WISCONSIN 多謝選民


WORCESTER — Montgomery County Democrats turned up in droves to a canvassing kickoff event on Sunday morning at the IBEW Local 126 office in Worcester Township where Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bob Casey emphasized the role of local voters in deciding national races this year.

Casey and Gov. Josh Shapiro hyped up the crowd of an estimated 100 to 125 people with the hopes of increasing voter engagement, just a month before the 2024 general election.

“No pressure, Montgomery County, but so much is on the line,” Casey said.

He and Shapiro visited the main office of the Montgomery County-based labor union at 3455 Germantown Pike in Worcester Township that represents electrical line construction and maintenance industry workers in Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland’s Eastern Shore.

As the election season nears its final days, both politicians underscored the importance of the role Montgomery County voters have in Pennsylvania, a key battleground swing state.

“You all should feel proud of the representation we have here in Montgomery County,” Shapiro said, highlighting several dignitaries at the local, county, state, and national levels.
https://www.thereporteronline.com/2024/10/07/shapiro-casey-emphasize-role-of-montgomery-county-voters-in-upcoming-election/


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