主頁 高登熱話 吃喝玩樂 科技消費 名人專訪 短片
現有會員可[按此]登入。未成為會員可[按此]註冊。
[公司模式 - 關]  [懷舊模式 - 開
[Youtube 預覽 - 關]  [大字型]  [小字型]

您現在聚腳在 時事台內。

將已解封的舊帳戶升級高級會員

我們上年12月曾解封部分只輕微觸犯版規或懷疑被駭的帳戶,但有會員反映一些於2009年前登記的舊帳戶在解封後未有自動升級為高級會員,現在我們已將該批帳戶升級,謝謝。
精選文章
DeerGamer
New App Android IOS
跳至第

發起人
資深民調專家:若特朗普當選 連同自己整個調查行業將會徹底消失
68 個回應
JB惹耶勒南

https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/5rmeuv3d.rcu5eyw2ilc.iufu0o2ejen.hhg.jpg



Pollster Frank Luntz told FOX News' Bret Baier on Thursday night that his "profession is done" if President Trump wins re-election and proves the national polls wrong yet again.

"I hate to acknowledge it, because that's my industry — at least partially — but the public will have no faith. No confidence," Luntz said Thursday. "Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit. "Pollsters did not do a good job in 2016. So, if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done."

"If the numbers turn out to be wrong. If Donald Trump is right and these pollsters are wrong about this race then people like me are going to have to find a new profession," Luntz said Friday.


#good2#42    #bad#1  
標籤:
上一屆應該要消失


成日估錯,唔消失對唔對得住自己?


陪民主黨一齊落地獄


唔稱職嘅人消失好合理


https://i2.wp.com/algotrading.blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/073032_fb1569c8296e5e96bba0d0953d58a51c.jpg?resize=640%2C360&ssl=1


上次已經錯到亞太區有一天成為亞太區係度啦,執7左佢啦


叫佢拎返2016果個出黎睇下[369]


當反指標埋得囉[sosad]


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/npondbqt.r31x1df2r0e.v5el3hcschg.icd.jpg


Polling guru Frank Luntz has admitted that if Donald Trump wins re-election, his “profession is done.” Though polls show Joe Biden in the lead, Luntz and his colleagues are hedging their bets and preparing to be shocked… again.
Democratic candidate Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by up to 10 points nationwide. Yet polls can be wrong, and for all the talk of a Biden “landslide” in the media, Trump’s supporters likely remember 2016, when their candidate pulled off a shock victory against Hillary Clinton, despite being given only a seven percent chance of winning by the New York Times two weeks before election day.


After final debate, Biden’s campaign is left hanging on the ‘character’ of a high-stakes influence peddler
Should Trump once again dispatch his Democratic challenger, the polling industry is finished, Republican pollster Frank Luntz told Fox News on Thursday.

“Well, I hate to acknowledge it, because that’s my industry,” he told Fox anchor Bret Baier. “But the public will have no faith. No confidence. If Donald Trump surprises people… my profession is done.”

Luntz insists that his polling is accurate this time, and that Biden will win. However, undecided voters may be leaning toward Trump.

As the two men faced off in the final presidential debate in Tennessee on Thursday night, Luntz organized a focus group of undecided voters. After the showdown, a majority of these voters were leaning toward backing Trump. They described him as “controlled,” “poised,” and “surprisingly presidential,” while Biden was thought of as “vague,” “elusive,” and “defensive.”


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/01t3dgn4.vjganghbtc4.cbcgjl3myce.uws.jpg


Luntz is a longtime critic of Trump, and a recently released email – found on Hunter Biden’s now-infamous laptop – apparently showed him massaging his predictions in favor of Biden back in 2012, when the then-VP was debating Mitt Romney’s running mate, Paul Ryan. Luntz appeared to confirm the email’s authenticity in a tweet, but denied it was any kind of bombshell, saying he’s known the Biden family since the 1990s.

However, if a Biden-friendly pollster, backed by his latest focus group, is publicly opening the door to a potential Trump victory, the election gurus may not be as confident in their figures as they let on.

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver is another one of these gurus, and his predictions are taken seriously in Washington. Right now, Silver gives Biden an 87 percent chance of winning. Yet the nation’s premier pollster has also been hedging his bets. On the same day that he bumped Biden’s chances up to 87 percent, Silver took to Twitter to remind his followers that “Trump still does have a nontrivial chance.”


當反指標埋得囉[sosad]

美國燒山[sosad]


全部都要落地獄#yup#


上一屆發生過?


上一屆發生過?



佢個機構2016年預測https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/j2asftum.y2p4xyopyso.54d1alh4zec.hht.jpg


咁要問下你班Hi Hi點解唔認真做民調
而將”民調”當做帶風向工具


已經比咗一次機會你,今次又係咁唔公正怪得邊個Z_Z


口投民建聯,香港都玩左十年啦,美國佬實在太天真


如果拜登當選,呢個行業會被全面染紅,用晒大陸人,到時行業存在,不過現存班人都係失業[sosad]


如果拜登當選,呢個行業會被全面染紅,用晒大陸人,到時行業存在,不過現存班人都係失業[sosad]


人地意思好似係再估錯結果就引咎辭職


上一屆發生過?



佢個機構2016年預測https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/j2asftum.y2p4xyopyso.54d1alh4zec.hht.jpg

[sosad] [sosad] [sosad] [sosad] 4年前佢個機構就應該要執7咗佢


我想睇喎


見到佢個"民調"就放心


口投民建聯 [sosad]


https://upload.hkgolden.media/comment/ckhzsgng.bnxg5o3iwet.tl3hixsaqta.zww.jpg


上一屆應該要消失


呢條向左走向右走人敢唔敢講自己上屆有冇份做民調?


跳至第



  快速回覆 - 輸入以下項目

本討論區現只接受會員張貼文章,本站會員請先登入。非會員人仕,您可以按此加入為新會員,費用全免,並可享用其他會員服務。


上次光臨時間: 2/12/2020 15:21
今天貼文總數: 692 | 累積文章數目: 6,778,147

聯絡我們 | 服務條款 | 私隱政策 | 廣告查詢 | 職位空缺
Copyright © 2020 HKGolden.com. All Rights Reserved.