今天新聞， ５小時前

https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/News/video/new-poll-suggests-trump-stronger-lead-biden-103444672

Jim Hartman: Can Trump be disqualified under the 14th Amendment?
Jim Hartman
Jim Hartman
By Jim HartmanSaturday, September 23, 2023Discuss
Comment, Blog about
Share this
Email, Facebook, Twitter
Some legal scholars contend Donald Trump is ineligible for the presidency under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment.

They cite the following language: “no person” who has taken an oath to support the U.S. Constitution shall serve in any public office who has “engaged in insurrection or rebellion against” the United States “or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof.”

Section 3 was drafted during Reconstruction to prevent Confederates from seizing back power through the ballot box.

Since being ratified after the Civil War in 1868, Section 3 has rarely been invoked. But legal scholars agree the disqualification clause has continuing legal force.

The argument – made fully in a 126-page August law review article authored by two conservative legal academics – concludes that Section 3 can and should be enforced against Trump.

J. Michael Luttig, a former federal appeals court judge appointed by George H.W. Bush, and Laurence Tribe, a liberal Harvard constitutional law professor, agree.

In reality , this last-ditch legal gambit against Trump should fail for legal and political reasons.

It begins with an assertion that Trump’s actions after the 2020 election amounted to an “insurrection” and they were self-evident. While Trump’s behavior was reprehensible that’s far from participating in “insurrection” or “rebellion” under the legal meaning of those terms.

The Jan. 6 rally turned into a riot at the Capitol. This was an obstruction of a federal proceeding – i.e. counting the electoral votes. But many riots in U.S. history have turned violent. In the late-1960s and early -1970s there were frequent bombings of government buildings.

Trump has not been charged with “insurrection” under 18 U.S.C. Section 2383 by special prosecutor Jack Smith. Instead, he’s been charged with a conspiracy to overturn the election, but that’s not a “rebellion.”

An over-broad definition of “insurrection” and “rebellion” under Section 3 could easily be abused by political partisans. Already there have been attempts to disqualify four Republican House members from the ballot who supported Trump’s claims the election was stolen.

If Section 3 is invoked against Trump, he won’t be the last target.

A New Mexico state court ruled in 2022 that Couy Griffin, a county commissioner who joined in storming the Capitol on Jan. 6, was “subject to disqualification under Section 3” because he took “an oath to support the Constitution as a county official.”

Griffin’s case is the first known application of Section 3 since the Civil War.

Proponents argue the disqualification clause is “self-executing,” meaning it automatically applies to someone who meets the criteria. They contend it doesn’t require a criminal conviction in court and can be invoked by state officials to keep Trump off the ballot.

This would violate the due-process protections explicit elsewhere in the Constitution. Removing Trump by fiat would also deny voters the constitutional right to vote for the candidate of their choice.

Knocking Trump off the ballot would validate, in the view of his supporters, his claims the election system is rigged and corrupt.

The secretaries of state in battleground states of Michigan and Arizona, both Democrats, have said they are researching the 14th Amendment issue after legal challenges were filed. The New Hampshire secretary of state, a Republican, said he was “carefully reviewing the legal issues involved.”

The question is being considered in at least nine states, including Colorado, where a lawsuit to disqualify Trump was filed Sept 6.

Its ultimate arbiter could be the conservative Supreme Court which Trump helped shape.

Brad Raffensperger, Georgia’s Republican secretary of state and a target of Trump’s unrelenting enmity, rejects the move as “merely the newest way of attempting to short-circuit the ballot box.”

The way for opponents to defeat Trump is through the electoral process – first in the primaries and perhaps the general election.

Let the voters decide.

https://www.nevadaappeal.com/news/2023/sep/23/jim-hartman-can-trump-be-disqualified-under-the-14th-amendment/

２０２２年２月已經講要加０。５％

Fed's Bowman keeping open mind on possible half percentage point rate hike in March

https://www.reuters.com/business/feds-bowman-keeping-open-mind-size-rate-rise-march-meeting-2022-02-21/

沙田第一城靚裝一房戶零議價380萬易手

新聞觀看次數：3k

09月23日(六) 18:45



利嘉閣地產郭建民表示，沙田第一城錄二手成交個案。單位為屋苑52座低層E室，實用面積284方呎，一房間隔，享內園景，附精緻裝修，最終以380萬港元「零議價」易手，實用呎價約13,380元。

據悉，業主於2006年以約95萬元購入上址，持貨至今超過17年轉手，現帳面獲利285萬元，物業升值約3倍。

郭補充，該屋苑本月至今暫錄5宗成交，現約有282個放盤，入場費為415萬元起。


https://hk.on.cc/hk/bkn/cnt/finance/20230923/bkn-20230923184518902-0923_00842_001.html

https://www.ig.com/en/indices/markets-indices/us-tech-100



幾好, 我圈低了55% long 這個數

即係現在55% 投資者渣好倉, 45% 渣淡倉

之前是60% 渣淡倉, 40%渣好倉

淡倉多 所以一路殺 上去

現在好倉開始多

有殺落去誘恩

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mgJNiPRsXNo
Beyond -《情人》Official MV

Poll showing Trump up 10 points over Biden for 2024 election criticized
A Washington Post-ABC poll showed results that diverge from most other surveys, and even the pollers made a caveat

Maya Yang
Sun 24 Sep 2023 21.53 BST
A new Washington Post-ABC poll showing Joe Biden trailing his presidential predecessor Donald Trump by 10 percentage points was excoriated by leading political pollster Larry Sabato.

Noting that the pollsters themselves cautioned that their survey was an outlier, Sabato – the director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia – called the decision to release it “ridiculous”.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 2024 presidential campaign rally in Dubuque<br>Supporters gather to listen former U.S. President Donald Trump speak during a 2024 presidential campaign rally in Dubuque, Iowa, U.S. September 20, 2023. REUTERS/Scott Morgan
‘I like him even better now’: Trump’s true believers keep the faith
Read more
“Ignore the Washington Post–ABC poll,” Sabato wrote on X, the social media platform formerly known as Twitter. “How could you even publish a poll so absurd on its face? Will be a lingering embarrassment for you.” He added: “Just plain embarrassing – for them.”

The New York Times’ chief political analyst Nate Cohn also criticized the poll that said Trump was ahead of Biden in the 2024 White House race.


Referring to a Post-ABC poll in May that found Trump was up seven percentage points on Biden, which was similarly inconsistent with most polling, Cohn wrote on X: “It’s really really hard to release outlying poll results, so you’ve got to give credit to ABC/Post here, but I do have a fairly major quibble with ABC/Post here: if you release consecutive ‘outlying’ poll results … you don’t get to dismiss your results.

“If it happens twice in a row in the same race, it’s clear that this is the result of some element of your approach, and you either need to decide you’re good with it and defend it or you need to go home.”

The Washington Post acknowledged its survey was not in line with most polling, which generally finds that the Democratic incumbent Biden and the former Republican president Trump would be in a close, competitive race if they faced each other in the 2024 election.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/sep/24/washington-post-abc-poll-trump-10-points-over-biden

第一張相post 得

第二張相,唔post得

第933 個post就係講, abc 個民調

指出 拜登落後, 但好多人唔信落後咁多

我估NH, 特朗普過一半 票

CNN 仲發緊夢

一地精了



Why New Hampshire is the most likely state where Trump could lose a primary

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/24/politics/new-hampshire-republican-primary-trump/index.html

Former President Donald Trump is a heavy favorite to win the 2024 Republican nomination. He’s getting over 60% in a number of national surveys of the GOP primary and holds the advantage in every early state that’s been polled.

Yet, recent data and history suggest that Trump may be in more trouble than is apparent at first glance in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire. Granite State Republicans, for whom Trump is not their first choice, seem to be searching for an alternative and may not settle on one until late in the campaign.

Take a look at CNN’s most recent survey of the state’s GOP primary conducted by the University of New Hampshire. Trump led the field with 39%, while no one else was anywhere close. Four candidates (businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis) were all between 10% and 13% of the primary vote.

羅大右, 林夕 兩人期侍 新生代捍衛民主

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ij4UgNBpKxk


群星 - 《新生代》MV

張衛健, 同江欣燕分手後

被嫌窮

那時的張衛健, 超癲

演劇 博到 盡

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvNqjpMj9GI

張衛健 Dicky Cheung -《真真假假

1001

前日開始咳嗽




我估不夠訓

要做 案件, 攪得店, 會有筆錢

渣架

搵到工了

搵到工了

終於可以叫 轉凍飲了

我通常開心先轉凍飲

前日開始咳嗽




我估不夠訓

要做 案件, 攪得店, 會有筆錢

渣架

街到, 巴士度, 都聽到唔少人我咳法

流感應該

落13420點 無時間表, 但14320點 應該就快到

一到, 有錢賺一定要走

美股是 好難走得及

好似前幾日, 好倉仲係15500點

開開心心,

一星期, 就可能變輸大錢

耀才勾左8萬蚊

20萬美股, 2萬港股

10月, 會陸續入返,

估12月底前, 入得返總數30萬

一陣出門口

3號, 我掛左5.5蚊,2萬, 定3萬

舊的2萬股, 走左, 5.53, 今星期買返

1001

0003 5.69

0003 5.69

落盤5.41